Historic by-election win indicates Green Party could win over a hundred seats at next General Election

Greens are on track to win over a hundred seats at the next general election, if the historic swing achieved to win Gorton and Denton is replicated nationwide.

Local candidate Hannah Spencer delivered a stunning by-election victory and more than tripled the party’s vote to deliver hope over hate.

In 2024 the Green Party secured just 13.2% of the vote in Gorton and Denton – one of Labour’s safest seats – but Hannah Spencer has achieved 40.7% of the vote, 14,980 votes, with a swing of 27.5%.

New Green Party MP Hannah Spencer said: “I’m grateful, and thrilled, that the people of Gorton and Denton chose hope over hate and elected me as their new Green Party MP. 

“This is the beginning of something massive.”

Green Party leader Zack Polanski said: “If we see a swing like this at the next general election, there will be a tidal wave of new Green MPs. When I was elected Leader of the Greens I said we were here to replace Labour and I meant it. Hannah was a fantastic candidate and I know she’ll make a brilliant MP.”

Hannah Spencer MP added: “I’m proud to have run a positive, inclusive campaign focused on the issues that matter most to local people: bringing down the cost of rent and bills, protecting the NHS, properly funding our public services, and ending Britain’s complicity in genocide. 

“I’d like to thank everyone who voted for me. They know they can trust me and the Green Party to deliver on our promises.

“I also want to thank the thousands of volunteers who gave their time, skills and energy to help us reach as many voters as possible with our message.

“The Greens are the only party with a real plan to improve everyday life for the people in Gorton and Denton and across the country.”

Zack Polanski added: “This used to be one of Labour’s safest seats. In this by-election almost half of their 2024 voters abandoned them and many switched to voting Green, meaning they finished 3rd. The Green Party saw a record-breaking swing in our direction and more than tripled our vote. 

“Labour fought a shameful, dirty campaign – spreading lies about Green policies and even faking a tactical voting website. They knew they couldn’t win, but they risked splitting the vote and letting Reform in.

“People everywhere will now know that voting Green is the way to defeat Reform. Many ex-Labour voters told our canvassers that they will never go back to a party that supports genocide, fuels racism, and has failed to deliver on its promise to improve life for people across the country.”

EDITORS NOTES

In 2024 Labour won 50.8% of the vote in Gorton and Denton and the Green Party won 13.2%. In 2019 (across the two former constituencies which make up Gorton and Denton) Labour’s notional vote was 67.2% and the Green Party’s notional vote was 2.5%.

The Green Party won 40.7% – more than tripling its 2024 vote. Labour’s vote dropped 50.8% to 25.4%. Polling suggests that this trend of rapid Green gains and collapsing support for Labour will be replicated across the country.

There was a record-breaking swing towards the Green Party. Gorton and Denton was 127th on the list of Green Party target seats based on the swing needed to win. If we see a similar swing nationwide in the next general election, there will be a tidal wave of Green MPs heading to the house of Commons.

Labour are aware their support is collapsing and ran a dirty, desperate campaign – spreading misinformation about Green policies and even faking a tactical voting organisation. This didn’t prevent the Green Party beating Labour and winning the seat.

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Green MP condemns Reform plans for ICE-style deportations

Reform UK has announced plans to create a deportations agency modelled on ICE – the US governmental agency terrorising communities across the country.

Green MP Carla Denyer has released a video condemning Reform’s plans for an ICE-style agency, and criticising Labour for parroting Reform’s hate.

In the video, Carla Denyer said:

“Instead of standing up to Reform’s Trump tribute act, this Labour government is parroting their hate – scaling up immigration raids, changing the rules for migrants who are already living in the UK, and plumbing new depths by broadcasting footage of people being detained and deported straight into our phones”.

“Reform has nothing else to offer and sadly neither do Labour anymore. When they have no solutions they look for scapegoats, desperately dragging the conversation back to migration again and again.”

“The Green Party knows that it is inequality not immigration that is making life tough, and that’s why we are offering hope and a plan to go with it – to bring down bills, protect the NHS, and rebuild our public services.”

A Green Party spokesperson said:

“Almost two-thirds of Americans say ICE makes their country less safe; Reform’s plans are a danger to people in the UK. People here do not want to be harassed and intimidated as they go about their daily lives. They do not want to see British citizens racially profiled and arrested based on their accent or appearance. They do not want children to be terrified to walk to school. Together we must reject the politics of division and hate.”

EDITORS NOTES

  1. Since September ICE agents have shot 14 people, killing two US citizens, and there have been a further 24 deaths in ICE custody. President Trump is accused of using ICE as his personal paramilitary force. The agency was criticised by a judge for its “culture of lawlessness”.
  2. Almost 2/3 of Americans say ICE is making their country less safe.
  3. US citizens are regularly arrested or detained by ICE based on racial profiling, accent or appearance. Last year, a 65-year-old British woman with a valid tourist visa was detained by ICE for six weeks.
  4. Children as young as five have been taken into ICE custody. Small children have also been seized as hostages to compel their parents to surrender themselves. Armed raids of hospitals, churches, homes and schools are said to have “turn[ed] life into a daily terror”.

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Statement on the Fourth Anniversary of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

Dr Ellie Chowns MP said: “Today and every day the Green Party stands in full solidarity with the Ukrainian people, who have now spent four brutal years defending themselves against Russia’s war of aggression. We pay tribute to their extraordinary strength and bravery in the face of violence, displacement, and attacks on vital infrastructure such as the energy grid.

“We call on the UK government to redouble its humanitarian, diplomatic, and security support for the people of Ukraine, and to continue making every effort in pressing for a just and lasting ceasefire. We further call on the government to use today’s anniversary as an opportunity to defend Ukraine’s right to self-determination in the strongest possible terms on the international stage, making explicit that the UK will stand against any bad-faith actors who attempt to bully or intimidate Ukraine into appeasing Russia’s demands.

“Finally, we recognise the courage of hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian refugees living in Britain after fleeing the horrors of war; they too deserve the full support of the UK government, including provision of the security and stability needed to genuinely rebuild their lives, free from fear of their legal rights to remain in the UK being unjustly stripped away.”

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Tactical voting organisations urge anti Reform voters, to vote Green in Gorton and Denton by-election

The main tactical voting organisations have today urged voters that the best way to stop Reform in the by-election in Gorton and Denton is to vote for the Green’s Hannah Spencer. 

This follows accumulated evidence that the Green Party is ahead of Labour, and that Labour voters risk accidentally letting Reform come through the middle and win the by-election.

The tactical voting websites recommending a Green vote are: 

StopReformUK.Vote and Tactical.Vote

There is clear data that the Green Party’s Hannah Spencer is the only candidate who can beat Reform.

This includes:
 
A public poll from Omnisis that shows the Green Party is in first place, and Labour voters are more willing to vote Green than Green voters are willing to vote Labour as a tactical vote to stop Reform. 

The Green Party’s internal data of thousands of doorstep conversations shows the Greens and Reform effectively tied, with Labour way behind. 

The bookmakers have consistently made the Green Party the favourites, with Labour trailing in third place.

Welcoming the news, a Green Party spokesperson said: 

“We are delighted that the tactical voting organisations, who just want to make sure that Reform’s politics of hate doesn’t slip through the middle because of a split in anti-Reform vote, are urging people to vote Green. 

“The evidence is clear that only the Green Party can beat Reform in Gorton and Denton, and we would urge Labour voters to lend us their vote, to ensure that Reform don’t get a foothold in Manchester to spread their division and hatred.”

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Green Party leads in first constituency poll in Gorton and Denton

The first constituency-specific poll for the Gorton and Denton by-election has today been released by pollster Omnisis, showing the Green Party leading with voters, with Reform in second place and Labour third. 

With undecided or not voting responses removed, Greens held 33% of the vote, Reform on 29% and Labour on 26%. All other parties made up 12% of the vote combined. 

Commenting, Hannah Spencer, Green Party candidate for Gorton and Denton, said

This result matches what we’ve been hearing on the doorsteps. Voters are fed up with Labour, and rejecting Reform’s division. Matt Goodwin has come up from London to spread rubbish about our communities, and by voting Green we can show him how wrong he is. I’m proud to be a Mancunian, proud that we look out for each other and proud that we’re showing the difference a positive and hopeful message can make. If voters choose me on the 26th of February, it would be the honour of my life to represent them in Westminster. 

Zack Polanski, Leader of the Green Party, said
“This election is about hope versus hate. Greens versus Reform. And this poll shows it. If people want to keep Reform out, then they need to vote Green on the 26th February.”

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